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UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar odds, predictions: MMA insider shares surprising fight card picks

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Frankie Edgar is a surefire future UFC Hall of Famer, but the former lightweight champion is determined to make history before he retires. He begins his quest on Saturday in his bantamweight debut against fifth-ranked Pedro Munhoz in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar. Their matchup draws the curtain on the MMA showcase from the promotion’s Apex facility in Las Vegas, with the main UFC fight card scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Should he win at UFC on ESPN and eventually compete for the bantamweight title, Edgar would become the first fighter in UFC history to compete for a belt in three weight divisions.

Standing in his way is Munoz, who believes he’s close to his first title bout. Munhoz is a -280 favorite (risk $280 to win $100), while Edgar is a +230 underdog in the latest Edgar vs. Munhoz odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, Alonzo Menifield (-125) and Ovince St. Preux (+105) meet in a light heavyweight battle. Before making any UFC Fight Night picks of your own, make sure you check out what SportsLine MMA analyst Kyle Marley has to say, considering the epic run he’s on.

Marley won the first-ever “ToutMaster” UFC betting contest sponsored by MMAOddsBreaker and appears regularly on multiple MMA betting and daily Fantasy shows. He watches every single fight for every single UFC card and does extensive research before each event. 

Over the past 18 months, $100 bettors who have followed Marley’s picks are up nearly $20,000. The accomplished MMA analyst has been on fire as he has connected on 16 of his last 19 main-event selections, a stretch that included a streak of five straight underdogs. At UFC 252 last Saturday, Marley accurately predicted a decision victory for Vinc Pichel (-125) against Jim Miller (+105) in their action-packed lightweight bout behind his spot-on assessment that Pichel would flourish in the final round. Anyone who has consistently followed Marley is way up. 

Now, with UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar fast approaching, Marley has carefully studied every matchup on the card, identified the best value in the UFC odds and released his MMA picks for every fight. Those selections are only available here

Munhoz vs. Edgar preview

Marley knows the 33-year-old Munhoz (18-4-1) has been considered a potential title-contender since his UFC debut in February 2014. All four of his UFC losses have come against fighters who are still ranked, with three of them in the top 10. 

The Brazil-born Californian had perhaps the biggest win of his career when he knocked out former titleholder and third-ranked Cody Garbrandt in March of last year. But he was outclassed three months later by the second-ranked Sterling, who now appears to be in line for a title bout against new champion Petr Yan. 

Marley also knows Edgar (23-8-1) is widely regarded as a UFC legend who has been involved in numerous memorable bouts. He won the lightweight championship in 2010 against fellow icon B.J. Penn and made three successful defenses before dropping a pair of bouts against Benson Henderson, who is now in Bellator. 

But the New Jersey native is just 1-3 in his last four appearances, with the lone victory coming against fading former contender Cub Swanson. He was stopped by Chan Sung Jung in the first round of their December bout and also suffered a first-round knockout loss in 2018 against Brian Ortega, who is ranked No. 2 at featherweight. You can see all of Marley’s Munhoz vs. Edgar picks here.

Top UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar predictions

We’ll share one of Marley’s UFC Fight Night predictions here: He is backing Calen Born (+300) to pull the upset of Dwight Grant (-400) in a welterweight clash.

Grant (10-2), 35, has shown promise with two victories following a loss in his UFC debut. He bounced back to defeat Carlo Pedersoli Jr. by knockout and took a decision win against dangerous veteran Alan Jouban in a six-week span last year. The Brooklyn native has seven stoppages among his 10 professional MMA victories. 

Born (7-1) becomes the latest in a series of short-notice replacements amid the coronavirus pandemic to get a call from the UFC. He is filling in for Jared Gooden, who withdrew because of an undisclosed injury. The 32-year-old Kansas City native is a grappling specialist with a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. 

“Grant is the better striker and more likely to get a knockout, but he is not active enough for my liking,” Marley told SportsLine. “Born will come out hot and could finish the fight in Round 1.”

How to make UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Munhoz picks

Marley also has strong picks for Edgar vs. Munhoz and every other bout on the UFC Fight Night card. He is also backing one fighter who “will dominate every second.” Those selections are only available here

Who wins Edgar vs. Munhoz? And how exactly does each fight end? Visit SportsLine now to get detailed picks on every fight at UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. Munhoz, all from the incomparable expert who’s up nearly $20,000 on MMA in the past 18 months and nailed 16 of the last 19 main events, and find out.

UFC Fight Night odds

Pedro Munhoz (-280) vs. Frankie Edgar (+230)
Alonzo Menifield (-125) vs. Ovince St. Preux (+105)
Mike Rodriguez (-220) vs. Marcin Prachino (+190)
Daniel Rodriguez (-175) vs. Takashi Soto (+155)
Mizuki Inoue (-165) vs. Amanda Lemos (+145)
Joe Solecki (-140) vs. Austin Hubbard (+120)
Mariya Agapova (-1,100) vs. Shana Dobson (+700)
Dwight Grant (-400) vs. Caleb Born (+300)
Ike Villanueva (-115) vs. Jorge Gonzalez (-105)
Timur Valiev (-500) vs. Mark Striegl (+400) 
Dwight Grant (-400) vs. Calen Born (+280)
Ike Villanueva (-120) vs. Jordan Wright (-100)

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